With just approximately a week to the 2016 presidential elections in Uganda, many Ugandans are itching to vote.
According to the Electoral Commission (EC) of Uganda, almost everything is in place for the 18 February 2016 polls and a free and fair election is guaranteed.
But, according to the polling station data and voter counts released by the Electoral Commission, there is a major discrepancy.
The data shows that there are 15,297,197 voters in Uganda. In terms of gender demographics, the document indicates that there are 8,027,803 Female and 7,249,394 Male voters. However, the sum of female and male voters as indicated in that document yields 15,277,197 NOT the said 15,297,197 (as indicated in the document).
Note the difference of 20,000 voters.
When a friend alerted me about this discrepancy, I took the data provided by the Electoral Commission and converted the PDF document to Microsoft Excel and started analyzing the data per polling station.
I inserted one more column
Analyzed Voter Count in the document and I put it side by side with the Electoral Commission's voter count for comparison.
First, I applied a simple formula to get the sum of Male and Female voters per polling station.
Once I got the sums, I compared my sum per polling station with the Eletral Commission's voter count (sum) per polling station.
The results speak for themselves, showing the disparities. Many of the polling stations have voters that are ‘unaccounted for’.
Analyzed Voter Count | Javie Ssozi | The cells highlighted with a red background indicate polling stations with what I can only term as “ghost voters”. Overall, there are 20,000 voters who are unaccounted for based on the gender demographics.
At the time of writing, it was not clear whether this is a systematic way of fixing votes or “human error”.
Regardless of where these 20,000 ghost voters come from, with such flaws, a free and fair election is still a dream.
If the Electoral Commission cannot deal with these simple numbers – especially now that there is no major rush, can we trust them with vote tallying in one day?
My friend, Evelyn Namara, noticed these disparities on 7 February 2016 and she contacted the commission via Twitter. She has not received a response from the commission since.
.@UgandaEc - Total No. of females = 8,027,803, Total No. of males = 7,249,394 Total sum shows, 15,297,197 instead of 15,277,197 2/3— Evelyn Namara (@enamara) February 7, 2016
We should condemn this negligence and call up on the Electoral Commission to account for the 20,000 voters.
Below is further analysis and the number of “Ghost voters” per polling station.
Showing Ghost Voters | Javie Ssozi | The cells highlighted with a red background indicate polling stations with what I can only term as “ghost voters”. Overall, there are 20,000 voters who are unaccounted for based on the gender demographics. | see column Q – extreme right. Download Statistics by Polling Station – Data Analysed –Showing Ghost Voters
You can download the "Statistics by Polling Station – Data Analysed -Uganda" – this is the Excel sheet with data I analyzed.
I have password protected the document just to make sure that no “unintended” alterations are made. If you want to do further analysis, tweet me and I will give you the password.
You can also use this Electoral Commission Database to verify number of voters per polling station and also download polling station information including voter registers.
You can also use this Electoral Commission Database (http://www.ec.or.ug/ps/list/) to verify number of voters per polling station and also download polling station information including voter registers.